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Table 2 Observed relative risks of coronary heart disease according to estimated Your Disease Risk (YDR) relative risk category among 55,802 Nurses’ Health Study participants, 1994–2004, overall and stratified by age in 1994

From: Validation of a risk prediction tool for coronary heart disease in middle-aged women

Estimated YDR relative risk category

N (%)

No. cases (total = 1165)

Observed RR (95 % CI)a

Age–adjusted RR(95 % CI)b

 Very much below average (RR ≤ 0.2)

23,140 (41.5)

290

0.42 (0.32–0.55)

0.43 (0.33–0.56)

 Much below average (0.2 < RR ≤ 0.5)

14,941 (26.8)

308

0.70 (0.53–0.91)

0.68 (0.52–0.89)

 Below average (0.5 < RR ≤ 0.9)

7278 (13.0)

173

0.81 (0.61–1.07)

0.78 (0.59–1.04)

 About average (0.9 < RR ≤ 1.1)

2321 (4.2)

68

1.00 (REF)

1.00 (REF)

 Above average (1.1 < RR ≤ 2.1)

4369 (7.8)

166

1.31 (0.98–1.74)

1.32 (0.99–1.76)

 Much above average (2.1 < RR ≤ 5.1)

2836 (5.1)

115

1.40 (1.03–1.90)

1.55 (1.14–2.11)

 Very much above average (RR > 5.1)

917 (1.6)

45

1.71 (1.16–2.51)

2.48 (1.68–3.67)

Age < 60 (N = 27,166)

    

 Very much below average (RR ≤ 0.2)

11,390 (41.9)

56

0.39 (0.22–0.71)

0.40 (0.22–0.71)

 Much below average (0.2 < RR ≤ 0.5)

6923 (25.5)

62

0.72 (0.40–1.29)

0.71 (0.40–1.28)

 Below average (0.5 < RR ≤ 0.9)

3271 (12.0)

38

0.94 (0.51–1.73)

0.93 (0.50–1.72)

 About average (0.9 < RR ≤ 1.1)

1129 (4.2)

14

1.00 (REF)

1.00 (REF)

 Above average (1.1 < RR ≤ 2.1)

2156 (7.9)

47

1.78 (0.97–3.24)

1.73 (0.95–3.15)

 Much above average (2.1 < RR ≤ 5.1)

1586 (5.8)

40

2.06 (1.12–3.81)

2.01 (1.09–3.72)

 Very much above average (RR > 5.1)

711 (2.6)

26

3.02 (1.57–5.83)

2.97 (1.54–5.74)

Age ≥60 (N = 28,636)

    

 Very much below average (RR ≤ 0.2)

11,750 (41.0)

234

0.43 (0.32–0.58)

0.43 (0.32–0.59)

 Much below average (0.2 < RR ≤ 0.5)

8018 (28.0)

246

0.67 (0.49–0.90)

0.67 (0.50–0.91)

 Below average (0.5 < RR ≤ 0.9)

4007 (14.0)

135

0.74 (0.53–1.01)

0.74 (0.54–1.02)

 About average (0.9 < RR ≤ 1.1)

1192 (4.2)

54

1.00 (REF)

1.00 (REF)

 Above average (1.1 < RR ≤ 2.1)

2213 (7.7)

119

1.20 (0.86–1.67)

1.20 (0.87–1.67)

 Much above average (2.1 < RR ≤ 5.1)

1250 (4.4)

75

1.35 (0.94–1.93)

1.40 (0.98–2.00)

 Very much above average (RR > 5.1)

206 (0.7)

19

2.14 (1.24–3.69)

2.27 (1.32–3.93)

  1. REF reference group, RR relative risk, CI confidence interval
  2. aLogistic regression model includes indicator variables representing YDR relative risk categories
  3. bLogistic regression model includes indicator variables representing YDR relative risk categories, and adjusts for age as a continuous variable