Age at first marriage, age at first sex, family size preferences, contraception and change in fertility among women in Uganda: analysis of the 2006–2016 period

Table 4 Detailed decomposition of changes in fertility for the study period

E					C
Variable	Coef	P-value	95% CI	%	Coef	P-value	95% CI	%
Education
No education	1.00
Primary	0.16	< 0.001	0.13–0.19	−0.9	−6.26	< 0.001	−9.37 -3.16	36.9
Secondary	−3.91	< 0.001	−4.39 -3.43	23.1	−3.19	< 0.001	− 4.83 -1.56	18.8
Residence
Urban	1.00
Rural	−0.89	< 0.001	−1.09 -0.69	5.2	−8.06	0.006	− 13.75-2.36	47.5
Contraceptive use
No	1.00
Yes	1.40	< 0.001	1.22–1.57	−8.2	0.19	0.712	−0.80- 1.17	−1.1
Age at first marriage
Not married	1.00
Below 15	−4.35	< 0.001	−4.74 -3.95	25.6	−2.77	0.169	−6.72 1.18	16.3
15–19	− 7.49	< 0.001	−8.18-6.80	44.2	−10.68	0.144	−24.99 -3.63	63.0
20+	8.35	< 0.001	7.61 9.08	−49.2	−1.21	0.569	−5.38-2.95	7.1
Family size preferences
0–2	1.00
3–4	0.43	0.002	0.16 0.70	−2.5	−3.59	0.174	−8.76 1.58	21.2
5+	−1.37	< 0.001	−1.60 -1.15	8.1	−2.05	0.501	−8.04 3.93	12.1
Non-numeric	−0.47	< 0.001	−0.55 -0.39	2.8	0.38	0.196	−0.02 0.97	−2.3
Age at first sexual intercourse
Below 15	1.00
15–19	−1.13	< 0.001	−1.41 -0.86	6.7	−3.14	0.053	−6.33 0.44	18.5
20+	2.92	< 0.001	2.61 3.24	−17.2	−7.37	< 0.001	−9.7 -5.00	43.5
Constant					37.10	0.021	5.61 68.59	− 218.8

ISSN: 1472-6874