Prognostic factors for future mental, physical and urogenital health and work ability in women, 45–55 years: a six-year prospective longitudinal cohort study

Table 3 Predictors for good health, workability and presence of hypertension at 6 year follow-up

	Mental Health^a		Physical Health^a		Work ability		Hypertension^b
	(n = 69) MCS SF36 ≥ 50		(n = 69) PCS SF36 ≥ 50^b		(n = 71)		(n = 71)
Predictors	p-value	Effect size^c	p-value	Effect size^c	p-value	Effect size^c	p-value	Effect size^c
Age^d	0.0056	1.5 (1.1–1.9)	0.67	0.96 (0.78–1.2)	0.46	1.1 (0.83–1.5)	0.13	1.2 (0.96–1.4)
Tertiary education	0.019	0.16 (0.034–0.74)	0.54	0.65 (0.17–2.6)	0.73	0.71 (0.10–4.8)	0.53	1.3 (0.40–4.4)
Work ability^e	0.66	0.60 (0.061–5.8)	0.017	21 (1.7–250)	0.0025	51 (4.0–670)	0.023	0.12 (0.018–0.85)
Living with a partner	0.12	9.4 (0.56–160)	0.75	1.5 (0.13–17)	1.0	0.00 (0.00-.∞)	0.80	1.1 (0.10–13)
Children at home	0.61	1.6 (0.28–8.3)	0.41	2.0 (0.39–11)	0.47	2.5 (0.22–28)	0.26	0.51 (0.11–2.4)
Depression^f	0.027	0.15 (0.027–0.81)	0.012	0.16 (0.037–0.67)	0.50	2.2(0.22–22)	0.88	1.1 (0.30–4.3)
MRS
Somatic^g	0.95	1.1 (0.090–13)	1.0	1.0 (0.12–8.4)	0.44	0.34 (0.22–5.3)	0.57	0.55 (0.071–4.2)
Psychologic^g	0.0069	0.035 (0.0032–0.40)	0.93	1.1 (0.23–5.1)	0.065	0.11 (0.011–1.1)	0.27	2.0 (0.45–9.2)
Urogenital^g	0.47	1.9 (0.34–10)	0.71	1.3 (0.32–5.3)	0.32	4.1 (0.26–12)	0.84	0.96 (0.25–3.7)
Active intervention^h	0.66	0.74 (0.19–2.8)	0.99	1.0 (0.29–3.4)	0.54	1.8 (0.27–12)	0.26	2.0 (0.61–6.3)
Nagelkirke R square		0.53		0.36		0.49		0.26
Hosmer-Lemeshow test	0.88		0.35		0.29		0.49
Area Under Curve^g	< 0.001	0.87 (0.78–0.95)	< 0.001	0.81 (0.70–0.91)	< 0.001	0.87 (0.77–0.98)	< 0.001	0.76 (0.64–0.87)
Omnibus test of model	0.00006		0.019		0.0005		0.12

^aCut of norm for Swedish women 45–54 years, SF36
^bThe part of the women stated having hypertension
^cEffect size is Odds Ratio and (95% CI) for all predictors. First figure is p-value, second figure is predicted probability and CI, the odds ratio increase in score value
^dOdds Ratio for an increase in age of 1 year between 45 and 55 years
^eWorking at least one hour/week
^fMontgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) score ≥ 7 indicating at least mild depression. Information is missing in 5 women (66/71)
^gMenopause Rating Scale and total Menopause Rating Scale (MRS) scoring. Somatic symptoms - hot flushes, heart discomfort, sleeping problems and muscle and joint problems; Psychological symptoms - depressive mood, irritability, anxiety and physical and mental exhaustion; Urogenital symptoms - sexual problems, bladder problems and vaginal dryness. Higher score indicates more severe symptoms
^hThe active group intervention is just as an adjustment and it is not the focus of this study

ISSN: 1472-6874